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Home » Predictions » Others » Puntarenas x AD San Carlos Betting tips for December 1 in Costa Rica Primera Division
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 21h00 Costa Rica Primera Division
Puntarenas Puntarenas
PREDICTION AD San Carlos Wins Probability 65% 1 X 2
AD San Carlos AD San Carlos
ODD: @1.83 Don't miss this prediction!

Puntarenas x AD San Carlos Betting tips for December 1 in Costa Rica Primera Division

Our betting tip for Puntarenas x AD San Carlos, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
21:00
Puntarenas Puntarenas
3.65
X
3.40
AD San Carlos AD San Carlos
1.83

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Puntarenas x AD San Carlos:

🔮 AD San Carlos wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AD San Carlos, you can win up to $915.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Puntarenas x AD San Carlos:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Puntarenas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $115.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on AD San Carlos in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-38.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, AD San Carlos scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 AD San Carlos matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, AD San Carlos conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Puntarenas x AD San Carlos for the Costa Rica Primera Division – 1 of December

🏟️ Puntarenas X AD San Carlos – Costa Rica Primera Division
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 21:00
🔵 Puntarenas – Winning probability: 12.89% | Fair line: 7.76
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.85% | Fair line: 4.58
🔴 AD San Carlos – Winning probability: 65.25% | Fair line: 1.53
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Puntarenas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Puntarenas x AD San Carlos is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230541 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Puntarenas x AD San Carlos

Should you bet on Puntarenas?

🔵 Puntarenas: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.89%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.65. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $344.50;
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$525.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.85% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $528.00
  • And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$252.00.

Is it worth betting on AD San Carlos?

🔴 AD San Carlos: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 65.25%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.83. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 650 times – this would give you a profit of $539.50
  • And would lose other 350 times – having a loss of -$350.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$189.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Puntarenas x AD San Carlos

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Puntarenas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Puntarenas x AD San Carlos

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Puntarenas, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Puntarenas.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 AD San Carlos.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Puntarenas x AD San Carlos

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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