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Home » Predictions » Others » Puntarenas x Alajuelense Betting tips for May 12 in Costa Rica Primera Division
Monday, 12 May 2025, 01h00 Costa Rica Primera Division
Puntarenas Puntarenas
PREDICTION Alajuelense Wins Probability 61% 1 X 2
Alajuelense Alajuelense
ODD: @1.96 Don't miss this prediction!

Puntarenas x Alajuelense Betting tips for May 12 in Costa Rica Primera Division

Our betting tip for Puntarenas x Alajuelense, Monday, 12/5/2025
📅 12/5/2025
01:00
Puntarenas Puntarenas
3.70
X
3.05
Alajuelense Alajuelense
1.96

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Puntarenas x Alajuelense:

🔮 Alajuelense wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Alajuelense, you can win up to $980.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Puntarenas x Alajuelense:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Alajuelense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-132.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Alajuelense scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Alajuelense matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Puntarenas x Alajuelense, with Puntarenas as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Alajuelense received red cards in the last 4 matches as the away team.
👉 Playing as the home team, Puntarenas conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Alajuelense.
👉 In the last 6 road matches, Alajuelense has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Puntarenas x Alajuelense?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Puntarenas x Alajuelense, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Puntarenas x Alajuelense for the Costa Rica Primera Division – 12 of May

🏟️ Puntarenas X Alajuelense – Costa Rica Primera Division
📅 12 of May, 2025 – 01:00
🔵 Puntarenas – Winning probability: 13.49% | Fair line: 7.41
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.52% | Fair line: 4.08
🔴 Alajuelense – Winning probability: 61.99% | Fair line: 1.61
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Puntarenas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Puntarenas and Alajuelense.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1322748 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Puntarenas x Alajuelense

Is betting on Puntarenas worth it?

🔵 Puntarenas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $351.00;
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$519.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $512.50;
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$237.50.

Should you bet on Alajuelense?

🔴 Alajuelense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 61.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.96. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 620 times – having a profit of $595.20;
  • And would lose other 380 times – losing -$380.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$215.20.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Puntarenas x Alajuelense

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Puntarenas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Puntarenas x Alajuelense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Puntarenas and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Puntarenas.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Alajuelense.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Puntarenas x Alajuelense

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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