Qalali x Busaiteen Betting tips for September 29 in Bahrain Division 2

Our betting tip for Qalali x Busaiteen, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 13:00

Qalali 2.55

X 3.40

Busaiteen 2.35

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Qalali x Busaiteen:

🔮 Busaiteen wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Busaiteen, you can win up to $1175.00!

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The main points for the tip for Qalali x Busaiteen: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Qalali in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $22.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Busaiteen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-190.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Busaiteen scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Qalali x Busaiteen, with Qalali as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Qalali matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Busaiteen matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Qalali conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Busaiteen conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Qalali has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Busaiteen playing at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Busaiteen as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Qalali x Busaiteen for the Bahrain Division 2 – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Qalali x Busaiteen right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Qalali x Busaiteen

Is it a good idea to bet on Qalali?

🔵 Qalali: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.6% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $341.00;
• And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$439.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.81%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $552.00
• And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$218.00.

Should you bet on Busaiteen?

🔴 Busaiteen: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 55.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 560 times – profiting $756.00;
• And would lose other 440 times – having a loss of -$440.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$316.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Qalali x Busaiteen

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Qalali
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Qalali x Busaiteen

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Qalali, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Qalali.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Qalali.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Qalali x Busaiteen

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.