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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป QPR x Leeds Betting tips for March 15 in England Championship
Saturday, 15 March 2025, 12h30 England Championship
QPR QPR
PREDICTION Leeds Wins Probability 82% 1 X 2
Leeds Leeds
ODD: @1.5 Don't miss this prediction!

QPR x Leeds Betting tips for March 15 in England Championship

Our betting tip for QPR x Leeds, Saturday, 15/3/2025
๐Ÿ“… 15/3/2025
12:30
QPR QPR
6.00
X
4.40
Leeds Leeds
1.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for QPR x Leeds:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Leeds wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Leeds, you can win up to $750.00!

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Some important points for the tip for QPR x Leeds:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on QPR in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $225.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Leeds in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $4.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, QPR scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Leeds, QPR scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 QPR matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ QPR has won all the last 4 matches playing at home against Leeds.

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Summary

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Analysis from QPR x Leeds for the England Championship – 15 of March

๐ŸŸ๏ธ QPR X Leeds – England Championship
๐Ÿ“… 15 of March, 2025 – 12:30
๐Ÿ”ต QPR – Winning probability: 6.67% | Fair line: 15.0
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.04% | Fair line: 9.06
๐Ÿ”ด Leeds – Winning probability: 82.29% | Fair line: 1.22
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 QPR
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for QPR x Leeds right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1281364 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for QPR x Leeds

Should you bet on QPR?

๐Ÿ”ต QPR: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.67% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $350.00
  • And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$580.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.04% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $374.00;
  • And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$516.00.

Is it worth betting on Leeds?

๐Ÿ”ด Leeds: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 82.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 820 times – having a profit of $410.00;
  • And would lose other 180 times – having a loss of -$180.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$230.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match QPR x Leeds

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 QPR
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for QPR x Leeds

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 QPR, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 QPR.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 QPR.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for QPR x Leeds

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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