Quilmes x CA Alvarado Betting tips for July 6 in Argentina Nacional B
| 📅 6/7/2025 18:30 |
 Quilmes1.69 |
X 3.10 |
CA Alvarado  5.40 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Quilmes x CA Alvarado:
🔮 Quilmes wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Quilmes, you can win up to $845.00!
The main points for the tip for Quilmes x CA Alvarado:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Quilmes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-310.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on CA Alvarado in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $200.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Quilmes scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 CA Alvarado matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Quilmes conceded at least 1 goal(s).
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Analysis from Quilmes x CA Alvarado for the Argentina Nacional B – 6 of July
🏟️ Quilmes X CA Alvarado – Argentina Nacional B
📅 6 of July, 2025 – 18:30
🔵 Quilmes – Winning probability: 65.75% | Fair line: 1.52
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.20% | Fair line: 3.97
🔴 CA Alvarado – Winning probability: 9.05% | Fair line: 11.05
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Quilmes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Quilmes x CA Alvarado right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1348919 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Quilmes x CA Alvarado
Should you bet on Quilmes?
🔵 Quilmes: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 65.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.69. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 660 times – profiting $455.40;
- And would lose other 340 times – losing -$340.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$115.40.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $525.00;
- And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$225.00.
Should you bet on CA Alvarado?
🔴 CA Alvarado: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $396.00
- And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$514.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Quilmes x CA Alvarado
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Quilmes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Quilmes x CA Alvarado
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Quilmes and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Quilmes. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Quilmes x CA Alvarado
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
