Quilmes x Defensores de Belgrano Betting tips for November 2 in Argentina Nacional B
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2/11/2024 23:05 |
Quilmes 2.00 |
X 2.85 |
Defensores de Belgrano 3.98 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Quilmes x Defensores de Belgrano:
π Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Quilmes x Defensores de Belgrano
The main points for the tip for Quilmes x Defensores de Belgrano: π If you had bet $100 on Quilmes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $110.0. |
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Analysis from Quilmes x Defensores de Belgrano for the Argentina Nacional B – 2 of November
ποΈ Quilmes X Defensores de Belgrano – Argentina Nacional B |
When the best bet on Quilmes x Defensores de Belgrano is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1214258 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Quilmes x Defensores de Belgrano
Should you bet on Quilmes?
π΅ Quilmes: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 44.03%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 440 times – profiting $440.00;
- And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$120.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
βͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $592.00;
- And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$88.00.
Should you bet on Defensores de Belgrano?
π΄ Defensores de Belgrano: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.98. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $715.20;
- And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just π°$44.80, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Handicaps analysis for the match Quilmes x Defensores de Belgrano
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
β Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Quilmes
β½ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Quilmes x Defensores de Belgrano
β Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Quilmes and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Quilmes.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Defensores de Belgrano.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Quilmes x Defensores de Belgrano
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.