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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Quilmes x Los Andes Betting tips for April 13 in Argentina Nacional B
Sunday, 13 April 2025, 18h35 Argentina Nacional B
Quilmes Quilmes
PREDICTION No tip
Los Andes Los Andes
Don't miss this prediction!

Quilmes x Los Andes Betting tips for April 13 in Argentina Nacional B

Our betting tip for Quilmes x Los Andes, Sunday, 13/4/2025
πŸ“… 13/4/2025
18:35
Quilmes Quilmes
1.96
X
3.00
Los Andes Los Andes
4.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Quilmes x Los Andes:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Quilmes x Los Andes

Some important points for the tip for Quilmes x Los Andes:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Quilmes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $100.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Los Andes in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-100.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Quilmes scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Los Andes conceded at least 1.0 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Quilmes is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Quilmes x Los Andes?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Quilmes x Los Andes, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Quilmes x Los Andes for the Argentina Nacional B – 13 of April

🏟️ Quilmes X Los Andes – Argentina Nacional B
πŸ“… 13 of April, 2025 – 18:35
πŸ”΅ Quilmes – Winning probability: 54.36% | Fair line: 1.84
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.79% | Fair line: 3.25
πŸ”΄ Los Andes – Winning probability: 14.84% | Fair line: 6.74
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Quilmes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Quilmes x Los Andes right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1302187 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Quilmes x Los Andes

Is it a good idea to bet on Quilmes?

πŸ”΅ Quilmes: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 54.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.96. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 540 times – having a profit of $518.40;
  • And would have lost other 460 times – with a loss of -$460.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$58.40 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $620.00;
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$70.00.

Is betting on Los Andes worth it?

πŸ”΄ Los Andes: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.84% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – profiting $450.00;
  • And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$400.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Quilmes x Los Andes

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Quilmes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Quilmes x Los Andes

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Quilmes and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Quilmes.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Quilmes x Los Andes

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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