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Home » Predictions » Others » Racing Club de Montevideo x CA River Plate Betting tips for December 1 in Uruguay Clausura
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 12h45 Uruguay Clausura
Racing Club de Montevideo Racing Club de Montevideo
PREDICTION No tip
CA River Plate CA River Plate
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Racing Club de Montevideo x CA River Plate Betting tips for December 1 in Uruguay Clausura

Our betting tip for Racing Club de Montevideo x CA River Plate, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
12:45
Racing Club de Montevideo Racing Club de Montevideo
1.98
X
3.20
CA River Plate CA River Plate
3.65

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Racing Club de Montevideo x CA River Plate:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Racing Club de Montevideo x CA River Plate

Important information for your tip for Racing Club de Montevideo x CA River Plate:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Racing Club de Montevideo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-112.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on CA River Plate in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $200.0.
👉 Racing Club de Montevideo has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against CA River Plate playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Racing Club de Montevideo x CA River Plate for the Uruguay Clausura – 1 of December

🏟️ Racing Club de Montevideo X CA River Plate – Uruguay Clausura
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 12:45
🔵 Racing Club de Montevideo – Winning probability: 47.76% | Fair line: 2.09
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.87% | Fair line: 3.35
🔴 CA River Plate – Winning probability: 22.36% | Fair line: 4.47
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Racing Club de Montevideo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Racing Club de Montevideo x CA River Plate right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Racing Club de Montevideo x CA River Plate

Is betting on Racing Club de Montevideo worth it?

🔵 Racing Club de Montevideo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 47.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.98. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 480 times – this would give you a profit of $470.40
  • And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$49.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.87% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $660.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$40.00.

Is betting on CA River Plate worth it?

🔴 CA River Plate: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $583.00
  • And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$197.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Racing Club de Montevideo x CA River Plate

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Racing Club de Montevideo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Racing Club de Montevideo x CA River Plate

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Racing Club de Montevideo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Racing Club de Montevideo.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 CA River Plate.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Racing Club de Montevideo x CA River Plate

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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