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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Radcliffe FC x Buxton Betting tips for October 29 in England National League North
Tuesday, 29 October 2024, 19h45 England National League North
Radcliffe FC Radcliffe FC
PREDICTION No tip
Buxton Buxton
Don't miss this prediction!

Radcliffe FC x Buxton Betting tips for October 29 in England National League North

Our betting tip for Radcliffe FC x Buxton, Tuesday, 29/10/2024
πŸ“… 29/10/2024
19:45
Radcliffe FC Radcliffe FC
2.40
X
3.40
Buxton Buxton
2.60

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Radcliffe FC x Buxton:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Radcliffe FC x Buxton

The main points for the tip for Radcliffe FC x Buxton:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Radcliffe FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Buxton in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $140.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Radcliffe FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Buxton matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 Radcliffe FC matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Radcliffe FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for Radcliffe FC as home team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Radcliffe FC x Buxton for the England National League North – 29 of October

🏟️ Radcliffe FC X Buxton – England National League North
πŸ“… 29 of October, 2024 – 19:45
πŸ”΅ Radcliffe FC – Winning probability: 32.31% | Fair line: 3.1
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.44% | Fair line: 3.78
πŸ”΄ Buxton – Winning probability: 41.25% | Fair line: 2.42
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Radcliffe FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Radcliffe FC x Buxton right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1211436 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Radcliffe FC x Buxton

Is betting on Radcliffe FC worth it?

πŸ”΅ Radcliffe FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $448.00;
  • And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$232.00.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.44%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $624.00
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$116.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Buxton?

πŸ”΄ Buxton: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.25%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $656.00;
  • And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$66.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match Radcliffe FC x Buxton

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Radcliffe FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Radcliffe FC x Buxton

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Radcliffe FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Radcliffe FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Radcliffe FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Radcliffe FC x Buxton

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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