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Home » Predictions » Others » Radomiak Radom x Lechia Gdansk Betting tips for May 4 in Poland Ekstraklasa
Monday, 04 May 2026, 17h00 Poland Ekstraklasa
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom
PREDICTION No tip
Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk
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Radomiak Radom x Lechia Gdansk Betting tips for May 4 in Poland Ekstraklasa

Our betting tip for Radomiak Radom x Lechia Gdansk, Monday, 4/5/2026
📅 4/5/2026
17:00
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom
2.20
X
3.50
Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk
2.90

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Radomiak Radom x Lechia Gdansk:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Radomiak Radom x Lechia Gdansk

Important information for your tip for Radomiak Radom x Lechia Gdansk:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Radomiak Radom in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-39.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Lechia Gdansk in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $130.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Radomiak Radom scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Lechia Gdansk, Radomiak Radom scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Radomiak Radom conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Lechia Gdansk conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Radomiak Radom has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Lechia Gdansk.

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Summary

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Analysis from Radomiak Radom x Lechia Gdansk for the Poland Ekstraklasa – 4 of May

🏟️ Radomiak Radom X Lechia Gdansk – Poland Ekstraklasa
📅 4 of May, 2026 – 17:00
🔵 Radomiak Radom – Winning probability: 39.59% | Fair line: 2.53
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.13% | Fair line: 3.43
🔴 Lechia Gdansk – Winning probability: 31.28% | Fair line: 3.2
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Radomiak Radom
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

How the handicap and odds moved for Radomiak Radom x Lechia Gdansk

One step many punters overlook is analysing the movement of odds and the handicap over time. Doing this gives a clearer idea of market expectations for the match between Radomiak Radom x Lechia Gdansk.

Check the summary below that compares opening odds with current odds across the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

📊 The odds for Radomiak Radom had a slight Raised of 7.14%: the market opened with odds of @2.1 for Radomiak Radom and now the odds are @2.25.
📊 With a variation of 0.00%, the odds for Draw are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @3.5 for Draw and now the odds are @3.5.
📊 The odds for Lechia Gdansk had a slight Decreased of -6.67%: the market opened with odds of @3.0 for Lechia Gdansk and now the odds are @2.8.
📊 The main handicap is stable: the current handicap of -0.25 for Radomiak Radom is exactly the same from its opening.
📊 The Goal Market remains stable: the current handicap of 2.75 goals is exactly the same from its opening.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Radomiak Radom x Lechia Gdansk

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Radomiak Radom x Lechia Gdansk right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1537252 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Is it worth betting on Radomiak Radom?

🔵 Radomiak Radom: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – profiting $480.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$120.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.13%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $725.00;
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$15.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on Lechia Gdansk?

🔴 Lechia Gdansk: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.28% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $589.00;
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$101.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Radomiak Radom x Lechia Gdansk

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Radomiak Radom
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Radomiak Radom x Lechia Gdansk

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Radomiak Radom, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Radomiak Radom.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Lechia Gdansk.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Radomiak Radom x Lechia Gdansk

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the tip for Radomiak Radom x Lechia Gdansk

Who is the favourite: Radomiak Radom or Lechia Gdansk?

According to our analysis, the favourite for this match is Radomiak Radom, with a win probability of 39.59%. However, keep in mind that in football anything can happen!

Who will win: Radomiak Radom or Lechia Gdansk?

There are no absolutes in sports betting. Still, our model suggests Radomiak Radom has the better chance to win, with a probability of 39.59%. If you choose to back Radomiak Radom, do so responsibly!

What are the chances of Radomiak Radom beating Lechia Gdansk today?

Based on our calculations, in every 100 matches we estimate Radomiak Radom would win about 40 of those against Lechia Gdansk.

What are the chances of Lechia Gdansk beating Radomiak Radom today?

According to our analysis, out of every 100 games we expect Lechia Gdansk to win approximately 31 of them against Radomiak Radom.

Which team should I bet on: Radomiak Radom or Lechia Gdansk?

Our analysis did not reveal a clear positive expected value pick for this fixture. Gamble responsibly and follow good bankroll rules: keep stakes below 2% of your capital!

How much is Radomiak Radom paying today? See what you can win by betting on Radomiak Radom x Lechia Gdansk:

The average odds for Radomiak Radom to beat Lechia Gdansk today are 2.20. So a KSh1000 stake could pay KSh2200.00 if Radomiak Radom wins. Bet responsibly and remember outcomes are not certain.

How much is Lechia Gdansk paying today? See what you can win by betting on Radomiak Radom x Lechia Gdansk:

The average odds for Lechia Gdansk to beat Radomiak Radom today are 2.90. So a KSh1000 stake could pay KSh2900.00 if Lechia Gdansk wins. Bet responsibly and remember outcomes are not certain.

Which site should I use to bet on Radomiak Radom x Lechia Gdansk?

If you plan to bet on Radomiak Radom vs Lechia Gdansk, we suggest using trusted and regulated bookmakers. Here are three operators we recommend:

Remember to bet responsibly!

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves