📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Raith x Arbroath
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Analysis from Raith x Arbroath for the Scotland Championship – 15 of January
🏟️ Raith X Arbroath – Scotland Championship
When the best bet on Raith x Arbroath is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 287992 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Raith x Arbroath
Is betting on Raith worth it?
🔵 Raith: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $435.00
- And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$265.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.27% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.12. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $701.25
- And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$31.25 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Should you bet on Arbroath?
🔴 Arbroath: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.41%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $630.00
- And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$10.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Handicaps analysis for the match Raith x Arbroath
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Raith
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Raith x Arbroath
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Raith and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Raith.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Arbroath.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Raith x Arbroath
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves