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Home » Predictions » Others » Ratchaburi FC x Nong Bua Pitchaya Betting tips for March 9 in Thailand Premier League
Sunday, 09 March 2025, 11h00 Thailand Premier League
Ratchaburi FC Ratchaburi FC
PREDICTION Ratchaburi FC wins Probability 83% 1 X 2
Nong Bua Pitchaya Nong Bua Pitchaya
ODD: @1.48 Don't miss this prediction!

Ratchaburi FC x Nong Bua Pitchaya Betting tips for March 9 in Thailand Premier League

Our betting tip for Ratchaburi FC x Nong Bua Pitchaya, Sunday, 9/3/2025
📅 9/3/2025
11:00
Ratchaburi FC Ratchaburi FC
1.48
X
4.20
Nong Bua Pitchaya Nong Bua Pitchaya
5.27

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Ratchaburi FC x Nong Bua Pitchaya:

🔮 Ratchaburi FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ratchaburi FC, you can win up to $740.00!

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Important information for your tip for Ratchaburi FC x Nong Bua Pitchaya:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Ratchaburi FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $13.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Nong Bua Pitchaya in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Nong Bua Pitchaya did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Ratchaburi FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Nong Bua Pitchaya did not receive any yellow cards in the last 3 matches as the away team.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Nong Bua Pitchaya conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Ratchaburi FC has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Nong Bua Pitchaya playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Nong Bua Pitchaya as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Ratchaburi FC x Nong Bua Pitchaya for the Thailand Premier League – 9 of March

🏟️ Ratchaburi FC X Nong Bua Pitchaya – Thailand Premier League
📅 9 of March, 2025 – 11:00
🔵 Ratchaburi FC – Winning probability: 83.31% | Fair line: 1.2
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 10.63% | Fair line: 9.41
🔴 Nong Bua Pitchaya – Winning probability: 6.07% | Fair line: 16.49
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Ratchaburi FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Ratchaburi FC and Nong Bua Pitchaya.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1277138 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Ratchaburi FC x Nong Bua Pitchaya

Is betting on Ratchaburi FC worth it?

🔵 Ratchaburi FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 83.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.48. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 830 times – having a profit of $398.40;
  • And would lose other 170 times – losing -$170.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$228.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.63%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – profiting $352.00;
  • And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$538.00.

Should you bet on Nong Bua Pitchaya?

🔴 Nong Bua Pitchaya: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.27. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $256.20;
  • And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$683.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Ratchaburi FC x Nong Bua Pitchaya

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Ratchaburi FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ratchaburi FC x Nong Bua Pitchaya

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Ratchaburi FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Ratchaburi FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Ratchaburi FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ratchaburi FC x Nong Bua Pitchaya

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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