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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Rayo Cantabria x Real Avila Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 07h00 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria
PREDICTION Rayo Cantabria wins Probability 67% 1 X 2
Real Avila Real Avila
ODD: @1.75 Don't miss this prediction!

Rayo Cantabria x Real Avila Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1

Our betting tip for Rayo Cantabria x Real Avila, Sunday, 29/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 29/9/2024
07:00
Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria
1.75
X
3.25
Real Avila Real Avila
4.38

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Rayo Cantabria x Real Avila:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Rayo Cantabria wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Rayo Cantabria, you can win up to $875.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Rayo Cantabria x Real Avila:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Rayo Cantabria in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-163.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Real Avila in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $300.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Rayo Cantabria did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Real Avila scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Rayo Cantabria matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Real Avila matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Real Avila has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Rayo Cantabria x Real Avila?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Rayo Cantabria x Real Avila, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Rayo Cantabria x Real Avila for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 – 29 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Rayo Cantabria X Real Avila – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
๐Ÿ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 07:00
๐Ÿ”ต Rayo Cantabria – Winning probability: 67.02% | Fair line: 1.49
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.42% | Fair line: 4.46
๐Ÿ”ด Real Avila – Winning probability: 10.57% | Fair line: 9.46
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Rayo Cantabria
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Rayo Cantabria and Real Avila.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Rayo Cantabria x Real Avila

Is it worth betting on Rayo Cantabria?

๐Ÿ”ต Rayo Cantabria: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 67.02%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 670 times – this would give you a profit of $502.50
  • And would lose other 330 times – losing -$330.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$172.50.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $495.00;
  • And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$285.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Real Avila?

๐Ÿ”ด Real Avila: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.38. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $371.80;
  • And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$518.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Rayo Cantabria x Real Avila

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Rayo Cantabria
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Rayo Cantabria x Real Avila

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Rayo Cantabria, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Rayo Cantabria.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Real Avila.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Rayo Cantabria x Real Avila

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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