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Home » Predictions » Others » Rayo Vallecano x Valladolid Betting tips for February 7 in Spain La Liga
Friday, 07 February 2025, 20h00 Spain La Liga
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
PREDICTION Rayo Vallecano wins Probability 86% 1 X 2
Valladolid Valladolid
ODD: @1.56 Don't miss this prediction!

Rayo Vallecano x Valladolid Betting tips for February 7 in Spain La Liga

Our betting tip for Rayo Vallecano x Valladolid, Friday, 7/2/2025
📅 7/2/2025
20:00
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
1.56
X
3.90
Valladolid Valladolid
6.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Rayo Vallecano x Valladolid:

🔮 Rayo Vallecano wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Rayo Vallecano, you can win up to $780.00!

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The main points for the tip for Rayo Vallecano x Valladolid:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Rayo Vallecano in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $40.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Valladolid in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Rayo Vallecano scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Valladolid scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Rayo Vallecano matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 Valladolid matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Rayo Vallecano conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 9 matches as the away team, Valladolid conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Valladolid as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Rayo Vallecano x Valladolid for the Spain La Liga – 7 of February

🏟️ Rayo Vallecano X Valladolid – Spain La Liga
📅 7 of February, 2025 – 20:00
🔵 Rayo Vallecano – Winning probability: 86.73% | Fair line: 1.15
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.48% | Fair line: 11.79
🔴 Valladolid – Winning probability: 4.78% | Fair line: 20.91
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Rayo Vallecano
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Rayo Vallecano x Valladolid is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1258264 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Rayo Vallecano x Valladolid

Is it a good idea to bet on Rayo Vallecano?

🔵 Rayo Vallecano: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 86.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.56. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 870 times – having a profit of $487.20;
  • And would lose other 130 times – losing -$130.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$357.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.48% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $232.00;
  • And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$688.00.

Is betting on Valladolid worth it?

🔴 Valladolid: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.78%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – profiting $250.00;
  • And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$700.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Rayo Vallecano x Valladolid

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Rayo Vallecano
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Rayo Vallecano x Valladolid

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Rayo Vallecano and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Rayo Vallecano.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Rayo Vallecano.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Rayo Vallecano x Valladolid

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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