Reading x Burton Albion Betting tips for October 1 in England League 1
📅 1/10/2024 16:00 |
Reading 1.67 |
X 4.00 |
Burton Albion 4.50 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Reading x Burton Albion:
🔮 Burton Albion wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Burton Albion, you can win up to $2250.00!
The main points for the tip for Reading x Burton Albion: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Reading in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $475.0. |
Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Reading x Burton Albion?
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Analysis from Reading x Burton Albion for the England League 1 – 1 of October
🏟️ Reading X Burton Albion – England League 1 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Reading x Burton Albion right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1192611 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Reading x Burton Albion
Should you bet on Reading?
🔵 Reading: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.67. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $40.20
- And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$899.80.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 150 times – profiting $450.00;
- And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$400.00.
Is it worth betting on Burton Albion?
🔴 Burton Albion: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 78.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 790 times – having a profit of $2765.00;
- And would lose other 210 times – having a loss of -$210.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$2555.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Reading x Burton Albion
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Reading
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Reading x Burton Albion
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Reading and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Reading.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Reading x Burton Albion
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.