📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Reading x Huddersfield
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Analysis from Reading x Huddersfield for the England Championship – 22 of January
🏟️ Reading X Huddersfield – England Championship
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Reading x Huddersfield right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 290605 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Reading x Huddersfield
Is it a good idea to bet on Reading?
🔵 Reading: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $464.00;
- And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$246.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.37% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $473.00
- And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$307.00.
Should you bet on Huddersfield?
🔴 Huddersfield: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 48.26% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 480 times – having a profit of $816.00;
- And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$296.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Reading x Huddersfield
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Reading
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Reading x Huddersfield
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Reading and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Reading.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Huddersfield.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Reading x Huddersfield
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves