📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Reading x Luton
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Analysis from Reading x Luton for the England Championship – 19 of January
🏟️ Reading X Luton – England Championship
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Reading and Luton.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 289909 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Reading x Luton
Is it worth betting on Reading?
🔵 Reading: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.06%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $322.50
- And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$527.50.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $483.00
- And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$307.00.
Should you bet on Luton?
🔴 Luton: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 64.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 640 times – having a profit of $800.00;
- And would lose other 360 times – losing -$360.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$440.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Reading x Luton
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Reading
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Reading x Luton
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Reading, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Reading.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Reading x Luton
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves