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Home » Predictions » Others » Real Avila x Bergantinos Betting tips for March 9 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
Sunday, 09 March 2025, 16h00 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
Real Avila Real Avila
PREDICTION Real Avila wins Probability 60% 1 X 2
Bergantinos Bergantinos
ODD: @1.76 Don't miss this prediction!

Real Avila x Bergantinos Betting tips for March 9 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1

Our betting tip for Real Avila x Bergantinos, Sunday, 9/3/2025
📅 9/3/2025
16:00
Real Avila Real Avila
1.76
X
3.02
Bergantinos Bergantinos
4.54

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Real Avila x Bergantinos:

🔮 Real Avila wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Real Avila, you can win up to $880.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Real Avila x Bergantinos:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Avila in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $155.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Bergantinos in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-260.0.
👉 Real Avila did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 3 Bergantinos matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Real Avila x Bergantinos for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 – 9 of March

🏟️ Real Avila X Bergantinos – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
📅 9 of March, 2025 – 16:00
🔵 Real Avila – Winning probability: 60.60% | Fair line: 1.65
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.71% | Fair line: 3.61
🔴 Bergantinos – Winning probability: 11.69% | Fair line: 8.56
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Real Avila
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Real Avila x Bergantinos is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1277138 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Real Avila x Bergantinos

Is it a good idea to bet on Real Avila?

🔵 Real Avila: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 60.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.76. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 610 times – having a profit of $463.60;
  • And would lose other 390 times – losing -$390.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$73.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.02. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – profiting $565.60;
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$154.40.

Should you bet on Bergantinos?

🔴 Bergantinos: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.54. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – profiting $424.80;
  • And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$455.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Real Avila x Bergantinos

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Real Avila
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Real Avila x Bergantinos

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Real Avila and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Real Avila.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Real Avila x Bergantinos

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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