Real Avila x Numancia Betting tips for November 30 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1

Our betting tip for Real Avila x Numancia, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 17:00

Real Avila 2.95

X 2.90

Numancia 2.31

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Real Avila x Numancia:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Real Avila x Numancia

Some important points for the tip for Real Avila x Numancia: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Avila in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $273.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Numancia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-158.0. 👉 Real Avila did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 3 Real Avila matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Numancia conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Looking for another bookie to bet on Real Avila x Numancia?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Real Avila x Numancia, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Real Avila x Numancia for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 – 30 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Real Avila x Numancia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Real Avila x Numancia

Is betting on Real Avila worth it?

🔵 Real Avila: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $409.50
• And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$380.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.65% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $646.00
• And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$14.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Numancia?

🔴 Numancia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 45.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.31. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $602.60;
• And would lose other 540 times – losing -$540.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$62.60 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Handicaps analysis for the match Real Avila x Numancia

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Real Avila
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Real Avila x Numancia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Real Avila, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Real Avila.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Numancia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Real Avila x Numancia

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.