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Home » Predictions » Others » Real Avila x Oviedo Betting tips for October 31 in Spain Copa del Rey
Thursday, 31 October 2024, 19h00 Spain Copa del Rey
Real Avila Real Avila
PREDICTION Oviedo Wins Probability 91% 1 X 2
Oviedo Oviedo
ODD: @1.52 Don't miss this prediction!

Real Avila x Oviedo Betting tips for October 31 in Spain Copa del Rey

Our betting tip for Real Avila x Oviedo, Thursday, 31/10/2024
📅 31/10/2024
19:00
Real Avila Real Avila
6.50
X
3.80
Oviedo Oviedo
1.52

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Real Avila x Oviedo:

🔮 Oviedo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Oviedo, you can win up to $760.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Real Avila x Oviedo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Avila in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-70.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Oviedo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Oviedo did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 4 Oviedo matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Real Avila x Oviedo?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Real Avila x Oviedo, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Real Avila x Oviedo for the Spain Copa del Rey – 31 of October

🏟️ Real Avila X Oviedo – Spain Copa del Rey
📅 31 of October, 2024 – 19:00
🔵 Real Avila – Winning probability: 3.11% | Fair line: 32.16
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 5.76% | Fair line: 17.36
🔴 Oviedo – Winning probability: 91.13% | Fair line: 1.1
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Real Avila
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Real Avila x Oviedo is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1213227 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Real Avila x Oviedo

Is it a good idea to bet on Real Avila?

🔵 Real Avila: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 3.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 30 times – this would give you a profit of $165.00
  • And would have lost other 970 times – with a loss of -$970.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$805.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $168.00;
  • And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$772.00.

Is betting on Oviedo worth it?

🔴 Oviedo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 91.13%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.52. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 910 times – this would give you a profit of $473.20
  • And would lose other 90 times – losing -$90.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$383.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Real Avila x Oviedo

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Real Avila
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Real Avila x Oviedo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.25 Real Avila, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Real Avila.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Oviedo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Real Avila x Oviedo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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