Real Aviles CF x UP Langreo Betting tips for April 16 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1

Our betting tip for Real Aviles CF x UP Langreo, Wednesday, 16/4/2025

📅 16/4/2025 17:00

Real Aviles CF 1.86

X 3.06

UP Langreo 4.27

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Real Aviles CF x UP Langreo:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Real Aviles CF x UP Langreo

Some important points for the tip for Real Aviles CF x UP Langreo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Aviles CF in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $467.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on UP Langreo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $230.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Real Aviles CF scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against UP Langreo, Real Aviles CF scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 Real Aviles CF is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Real Aviles CF has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against UP Langreo playing at home.

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Analysis from Real Aviles CF x UP Langreo for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 – 16 of April

When the best bet on Real Aviles CF x UP Langreo is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1304980 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Real Aviles CF x UP Langreo

Should you bet on Real Aviles CF?

🔵 Real Aviles CF: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 56.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.86. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 560 times – profiting $481.60;
• And would lose other 440 times – losing -$440.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$41.60.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.06. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $618.00
• And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$82.00.

Should you bet on UP Langreo?

🔴 UP Langreo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.45% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.27. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $457.80
• And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$402.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Real Aviles CF x UP Langreo

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Real Aviles CF
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Real Aviles CF x UP Langreo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Real Aviles CF and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Real Aviles CF.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Real Aviles CF.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Real Aviles CF x UP Langreo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.