Real Betis x Espanyol Betting tips for September 29 in Spain La Liga

Our betting tip for Real Betis x Espanyol, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 13:30

Real Betis 1.62

X 3.75

Espanyol 5.59

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Real Betis x Espanyol:

🔮 Real Betis wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Real Betis, you can win up to $810.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Real Betis x Espanyol: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Betis in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-19.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Espanyol in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Real Betis scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Espanyol, Real Betis scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Real Betis is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 4 home matches, it had at least 62.00% of possession. 👉 Real Betis has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Espanyol playing at home.

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Analysis from Real Betis x Espanyol for the Spain La Liga – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Real Betis x Espanyol right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Real Betis x Espanyol

Is it worth betting on Real Betis?

🔵 Real Betis: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 74.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 750 times – this would give you a profit of $465.00
• And would have lost other 250 times – with a loss of -$250.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$215.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 170 times – profiting $467.50;
• And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$362.50.

Is betting on Espanyol worth it?

🔴 Espanyol: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.59. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $367.20
• And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$552.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Real Betis x Espanyol

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Real Betis
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Real Betis x Espanyol

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Real Betis and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Real Betis.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Real Betis.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Real Betis x Espanyol

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.