Real Espana x Lobos UPNFM Betting tips for April 13 in Honduras Liga Nacional

Our betting tip for Real Espana x Lobos UPNFM, Sunday, 13/4/2025

📅 13/4/2025 01:30

Real Espana 1.45

X 3.90

Lobos UPNFM 5.75

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Real Espana x Lobos UPNFM:

🔮 Real Espana wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Real Espana, you can win up to $725.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Real Espana x Lobos UPNFM: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Espana in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $15.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lobos UPNFM in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Real Espana scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Real Espana has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Lobos UPNFM playing at home.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Real Espana x Lobos UPNFM?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Real Espana x Lobos UPNFM, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Real Espana x Lobos UPNFM for the Honduras Liga Nacional – 13 of April

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Real Espana and Lobos UPNFM.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1302086 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Real Espana x Lobos UPNFM

Is it worth betting on Real Espana?

🔵 Real Espana: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 82.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 820 times – profiting $369.00;
• And would lose other 180 times – having a loss of -$180.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$189.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.28% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $406.00
• And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$454.00.

Is betting on Lobos UPNFM worth it?

🔴 Lobos UPNFM: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 30 times – profiting $142.50;
• And would lose other 970 times – having a loss of -$970.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$827.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Real Espana x Lobos UPNFM

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Real Espana
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Real Espana x Lobos UPNFM

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Real Espana and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Real Espana.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Real Espana.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Real Espana x Lobos UPNFM

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.