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Home » Predictions » Others » Real Jaen x Cadiz Betting tips for October 29 in Spain Copa del Rey
Tuesday, 29 October 2024, 20h00 Spain Copa del Rey
Real Jaen Real Jaen
PREDICTION Cadiz Wins Probability 82% 1 X 2
Cadiz Cadiz
ODD: @1.59 Don't miss this prediction!

Real Jaen x Cadiz Betting tips for October 29 in Spain Copa del Rey

Our betting tip for Real Jaen x Cadiz, Tuesday, 29/10/2024
📅 29/10/2024
20:00
Real Jaen Real Jaen
5.50
X
3.90
Cadiz Cadiz
1.59

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Real Jaen x Cadiz:

🔮 Cadiz wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cadiz, you can win up to $795.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Real Jaen x Cadiz:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Cadiz in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $120.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Real Jaen scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Cadiz conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Real Jaen is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Real Jaen x Cadiz for the Spain Copa del Rey – 29 of October

🏟️ Real Jaen X Cadiz – Spain Copa del Rey
📅 29 of October, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Real Jaen – Winning probability: 10.29% | Fair line: 9.72
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 7.28% | Fair line: 13.74
🔴 Cadiz – Winning probability: 82.43% | Fair line: 1.21
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Real Jaen
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Real Jaen and Cadiz.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1211436 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Real Jaen x Cadiz

Is it worth betting on Real Jaen?

🔵 Real Jaen: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $450.00;
  • And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$450.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.28%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $203.00;
  • And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$727.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Cadiz?

🔴 Cadiz: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 82.43%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.59. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 820 times – profiting $483.80;
  • And would lose other 180 times – having a loss of -$180.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$303.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Real Jaen x Cadiz

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Real Jaen
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Real Jaen x Cadiz

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Real Jaen, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Real Jaen. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Real Jaen x Cadiz

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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