Real Madrid x Barcelona Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Super Cup

Our betting tip for Real Madrid x Barcelona, Sunday, 12/1/2025

📅 12/1/2025 19:00

Real Madrid 2.39

X 3.75

Barcelona 2.70

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Real Madrid x Barcelona:

🔮 Barcelona wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Barcelona, you can win up to $1350.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Real Madrid x Barcelona: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Madrid in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $142.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Barcelona in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $152.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Real Madrid scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Barcelona scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Real Madrid matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Real Madrid x Barcelona, with Real Madrid as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Real Madrid conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Barcelona. 👉 Real Madrid is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 In the last 6 road matches, Barcelona has not lost any of them.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Real Madrid x Barcelona?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Real Madrid x Barcelona for the Spain Super Cup – 12 of January

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Real Madrid and Barcelona.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244844 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Real Madrid x Barcelona

Is it a good idea to bet on Real Madrid?

🔵 Real Madrid: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.22% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.39. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 400 times – profiting $556.00;
• And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$44.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $440.00
• And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$400.00.

Is betting on Barcelona worth it?

🔴 Barcelona: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 440 times – profiting $748.00;
• And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$188.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Real Madrid x Barcelona

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Real Madrid
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Real Madrid x Barcelona

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Real Madrid and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Real Madrid.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Real Madrid x Barcelona

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.