Real Madrid x Getafe Betting tips for December 1 in Spain La Liga
| 📅 1/12/2024 15:15 |
 Real Madrid1.30 |
X 5.00 |
Getafe  9.59 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Real Madrid x Getafe:
🔮 Real Madrid wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Real Madrid, you can win up to $650.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Real Madrid x Getafe: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Madrid in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-98.0. |
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Analysis from Real Madrid x Getafe for the Spain La Liga – 1 of December
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🏟️ Real Madrid X Getafe – Spain La Liga |
When the best bet on Real Madrid x Getafe is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Real Madrid x Getafe
Should you bet on Real Madrid?
🔵 Real Madrid: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 90.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 910 times – profiting $273.00;
- And would have lost other 90 times – with a loss of -$90.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$183.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.17% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $280.00
- And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$650.00.
Should you bet on Getafe?
🔴 Getafe: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 9.59. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 20 times – profiting $171.80;
- And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$808.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Real Madrid x Getafe
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Real Madrid
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Real Madrid x Getafe
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Real Madrid, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Real Madrid.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Real Madrid x Getafe
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
