Real Madrid x Rayo Vallecano Betting tips for March 9 in Spain La Liga

Our betting tip for Real Madrid x Rayo Vallecano, Sunday, 9/3/2025

📅 9/3/2025 15:15

Real Madrid 1.28

X 5.82

Rayo Vallecano 9.50

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Real Madrid x Rayo Vallecano:

🔮 Real Madrid wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Real Madrid, you can win up to $640.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Real Madrid x Rayo Vallecano: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Madrid in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $113.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Rayo Vallecano in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-87.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Real Madrid scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Rayo Vallecano matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Real Madrid is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Real Madrid has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Rayo Vallecano playing at home.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Real Madrid x Rayo Vallecano?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Real Madrid x Rayo Vallecano, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Real Madrid x Rayo Vallecano for the Spain La Liga – 9 of March

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Real Madrid x Rayo Vallecano right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1277138 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Real Madrid x Rayo Vallecano

Is betting on Real Madrid worth it?

🔵 Real Madrid: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 91.8%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.28. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 920 times – having a profit of $257.60;
• And would have lost other 80 times – with a loss of -$80.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$177.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.82. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $337.40;
• And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$592.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on Rayo Vallecano?

🔴 Rayo Vallecano: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.45% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 9.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 10 times – profiting $85.00;
• And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$905.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Real Madrid x Rayo Vallecano

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Real Madrid
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Real Madrid x Rayo Vallecano

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 Real Madrid, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Real Madrid.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 Real Madrid.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Real Madrid x Rayo Vallecano

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.