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Home » Predictions » Others » Real Monterotondo x ASD Trastevere Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 10h00 Italy Serie D
Real Monterotondo Real Monterotondo
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 33% 1 X 2
ASD Trastevere ASD Trastevere
ODD: @3 Don't miss this prediction!

Real Monterotondo x ASD Trastevere Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Real Monterotondo x ASD Trastevere, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
10:00
Real Monterotondo Real Monterotondo
2.50
X
3.00
ASD Trastevere ASD Trastevere
2.50

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Real Monterotondo x ASD Trastevere:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1500.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Real Monterotondo x ASD Trastevere:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Monterotondo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-68.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, ASD Trastevere conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for ASD Trastevere as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Real Monterotondo x ASD Trastevere for the Italy Serie D – 29 of September

🏟️ Real Monterotondo X ASD Trastevere – Italy Serie D
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 10:00
🔵 Real Monterotondo – Winning probability: 34.56% | Fair line: 2.89
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.15% | Fair line: 3.02
🔴 ASD Trastevere – Winning probability: 32.29% | Fair line: 3.1
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Real Monterotondo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Real Monterotondo x ASD Trastevere is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Real Monterotondo x ASD Trastevere

Is it a good idea to bet on Real Monterotondo?

🔵 Real Monterotondo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – profiting $525.00;
  • And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$125.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.15%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – profiting $660.00;
  • And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$10.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on ASD Trastevere?

🔴 ASD Trastevere: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $480.00
  • And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$200.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Real Monterotondo x ASD Trastevere

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Real Monterotondo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Real Monterotondo x ASD Trastevere

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Real Monterotondo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Real Monterotondo.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Real Monterotondo x ASD Trastevere

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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