Real Murcia x AD Ceuta FC Betting tips for April 12 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2

Our betting tip for Real Murcia x AD Ceuta FC, Saturday, 12/4/2025

📅 12/4/2025 18:00

Real Murcia 2.14

X 2.99

AD Ceuta FC 3.40

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Real Murcia x AD Ceuta FC:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Real Murcia x AD Ceuta FC

The main points for the tip for Real Murcia x AD Ceuta FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Murcia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-158.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on AD Ceuta FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $45.0. 👉 In the last 7 road matches, AD Ceuta FC has not lost any of them.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Real Murcia x AD Ceuta FC?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Real Murcia x AD Ceuta FC, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Real Murcia x AD Ceuta FC for the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 – 12 of April

When the best bet on Real Murcia x AD Ceuta FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1301554 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Real Murcia x AD Ceuta FC

Is it a good idea to bet on Real Murcia?

🔵 Real Murcia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.45% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.14. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 410 times – this would give you a profit of $467.40
• And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$122.60.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.08% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.99. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $636.80
• And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$43.20.

Is betting on AD Ceuta FC worth it?

🔴 AD Ceuta FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.47% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $624.00
• And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$116.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Real Murcia x AD Ceuta FC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Real Murcia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Real Murcia x AD Ceuta FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Real Murcia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Real Murcia.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Real Murcia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Real Murcia x AD Ceuta FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.