Real Murcia x Betis Deportivo Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2

Our betting tip for Real Murcia x Betis Deportivo, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 10:30

Real Murcia 1.74

X 3.30

Betis Deportivo 4.40

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Real Murcia x Betis Deportivo:

🔮 Real Murcia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Real Murcia, you can win up to $870.00!

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Important information for your tip for Real Murcia x Betis Deportivo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Murcia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-189.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Betis Deportivo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Real Murcia scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Betis Deportivo conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Real Murcia conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Betis Deportivo.

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Analysis from Real Murcia x Betis Deportivo for the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 – 29 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Real Murcia and Betis Deportivo.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Real Murcia x Betis Deportivo

Should you bet on Real Murcia?

🔵 Real Murcia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 66.31%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.74. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 660 times – having a profit of $488.40;
• And would have lost other 340 times – with a loss of -$340.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$148.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $460.00
• And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$340.00.

Is betting on Betis Deportivo worth it?

🔴 Betis Deportivo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $476.00
• And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$384.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Real Murcia x Betis Deportivo

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Real Murcia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Real Murcia x Betis Deportivo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Real Murcia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Real Murcia.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Real Murcia x Betis Deportivo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.