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Home » Predictions » Real Oviedo Women B x Lugo Women Betting tips for January 11 in Spain Tercera Federacion Women
Saturday, 11 January 2025, 17h00 Spain Tercera Federacion Women
Real Oviedo Women B Real Oviedo Women B
PREDICTION Real Oviedo Women B wins Probability 61% 1 X 2
Lugo Women Lugo Women
ODD: @1.76 Don't miss this prediction!

Real Oviedo Women B x Lugo Women Betting tips for January 11 in Spain Tercera Federacion Women

Our betting tip for Real Oviedo Women B x Lugo Women, Saturday, 11/1/2025
📅 11/1/2025
17:00
Real Oviedo Women B Real Oviedo Women B
1.76
X
4.00
Lugo Women Lugo Women
3.43

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Real Oviedo Women B x Lugo Women:

🔮 Real Oviedo Women B wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Real Oviedo Women B, you can win up to $880.00!

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The main points for the tip for Real Oviedo Women B x Lugo Women:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Oviedo Women B in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Lugo Women in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $50.0.
👉 In the last 3 Real Oviedo Women B matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Real Oviedo Women B conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Lugo Women conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Real Oviedo Women B as home team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Real Oviedo Women B x Lugo Women for the Spain Tercera Federacion Women – 11 of January

🏟️ Real Oviedo Women B X Lugo Women – Spain Tercera Federacion Women
📅 11 of January, 2025 – 17:00
🔵 Real Oviedo Women B – Winning probability: 61.51% | Fair line: 1.63
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.36% | Fair line: 5.76
🔴 Lugo Women – Winning probability: 21.14% | Fair line: 4.73
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Real Oviedo Women B
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Real Oviedo Women B x Lugo Women is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244516 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Real Oviedo Women B x Lugo Women

Should you bet on Real Oviedo Women B?

🔵 Real Oviedo Women B: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 61.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.76. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 620 times – having a profit of $471.20;
  • And would have lost other 380 times – with a loss of -$380.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$91.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $510.00;
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$320.00.

Is betting on Lugo Women worth it?

🔴 Lugo Women: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.43. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $510.30;
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$279.70.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Real Oviedo Women B x Lugo Women

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Real Oviedo Women B
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Real Oviedo Women B x Lugo Women

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Real Oviedo Women B, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Real Oviedo Women B.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Lugo Women.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Real Oviedo Women B x Lugo Women

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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