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Home » Predictions » Others » Real San Andres x Orsomarso Betting tips for October 2 in Colombia Primera B
Wednesday, 02 October 2024, 17h00 Colombia Primera B
Real San Andres Real San Andres
PREDICTION Orsomarso Wins Probability 52% 1 X 2
Orsomarso Orsomarso
ODD: @2.55 Don't miss this prediction!

Real San Andres x Orsomarso Betting tips for October 2 in Colombia Primera B

Our betting tip for Real San Andres x Orsomarso, Wednesday, 2/10/2024
📅 2/10/2024
17:00
Real San Andres Real San Andres
2.66
X
3.00
Orsomarso Orsomarso
2.55

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Real San Andres x Orsomarso:

🔮 Orsomarso wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Orsomarso, you can win up to $1275.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Real San Andres x Orsomarso:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Real San Andres in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $230.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Orsomarso in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $150.0.
👉 Orsomarso did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 4 Orsomarso matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Real San Andres x Orsomarso for the Colombia Primera B – 2 of October

🏟️ Real San Andres X Orsomarso – Colombia Primera B
📅 2 of October, 2024 – 17:00
🔵 Real San Andres – Winning probability: 24.45% | Fair line: 4.09
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.39% | Fair line: 4.27
🔴 Orsomarso – Winning probability: 52.15% | Fair line: 1.92
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Real San Andres
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Real San Andres x Orsomarso is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1193870 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Real San Andres x Orsomarso

Should you bet on Real San Andres?

🔵 Real San Andres: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.45% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.66. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $398.40;
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$361.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $460.00;
  • And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$310.00.

Is it worth betting on Orsomarso?

🔴 Orsomarso: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 52.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 520 times – this would give you a profit of $806.00
  • And would have lost other 480 times – with a loss of -$480.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$326.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Real San Andres x Orsomarso

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Real San Andres
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Real San Andres x Orsomarso

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Real San Andres, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Real San Andres.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Real San Andres.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Real San Andres x Orsomarso

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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