Rebordosa x GD Joane Betting tips for November 30 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for Rebordosa x GD Joane, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 15:00

Rebordosa 2.20

X 3.10

GD Joane 2.96

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Rebordosa x GD Joane:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Rebordosa x GD Joane

Some important points for the tip for Rebordosa x GD Joane: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Rebordosa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $168.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on GD Joane in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-175.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, GD Joane scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Rebordosa conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, GD Joane conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Rebordosa x GD Joane for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 30 of November

When the best bet on Rebordosa x GD Joane is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229690 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Rebordosa x GD Joane

Is it a good idea to bet on Rebordosa?

🔵 Rebordosa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 470 times – having a profit of $564.00;
• And would lose other 530 times – losing -$530.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$34.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.87%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 330 times – profiting $693.00;
• And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$23.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on GD Joane?

🔴 GD Joane: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.96. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $392.00;
• And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$408.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Rebordosa x GD Joane

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Rebordosa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Rebordosa x GD Joane

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Rebordosa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Rebordosa.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Rebordosa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Rebordosa x GD Joane

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.