Rebordosa x Paredes Betting tips for September 29 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for Rebordosa x Paredes, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 11:00

Rebordosa 2.91

X 3.20

Paredes 2.18

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Rebordosa x Paredes:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Rebordosa x Paredes

Important information for your tip for Rebordosa x Paredes: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Rebordosa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $338.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Paredes in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $238.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Rebordosa scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Rebordosa matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Rebordosa is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Rebordosa x Paredes?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Rebordosa x Paredes for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Rebordosa x Paredes right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Rebordosa x Paredes

Should you bet on Rebordosa?

🔵 Rebordosa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.91. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $401.10
• And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$388.90.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $682.00;
• And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$8.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Paredes?

🔴 Paredes: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 47.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.18. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 480 times – profiting $566.40;
• And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$46.40. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Handicaps analysis for the match Rebordosa x Paredes

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Rebordosa
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Rebordosa x Paredes

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Rebordosa and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Rebordosa.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Rebordosa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Rebordosa x Paredes

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.