Recanatese x Sambenedettese Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Serie D
| 📅 12/1/2025 13:30 |
 Recanatese4.75 |
X 3.50 |
Sambenedettese  1.61 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Recanatese x Sambenedettese:
🔮 Sambenedettese wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sambenedettese, you can win up to $805.00!
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Important information for your tip for Recanatese x Sambenedettese: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sambenedettese in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $84.0. |
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Analysis from Recanatese x Sambenedettese for the Italy Serie D – 12 of January
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🏟️ Recanatese X Sambenedettese – Italy Serie D |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Recanatese x Sambenedettese right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244844 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Recanatese x Sambenedettese
Is betting on Recanatese worth it?
🔵 Recanatese: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.68% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 80 times – profiting $300.00;
- And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$620.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.5%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $550.00
- And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$230.00.
Is betting on Sambenedettese worth it?
🔴 Sambenedettese: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 69.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.61. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 700 times – profiting $427.00;
- And would lose other 300 times – losing -$300.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$127.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Recanatese x Sambenedettese
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Recanatese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Recanatese x Sambenedettese
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Recanatese, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Recanatese.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Recanatese.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Recanatese x Sambenedettese
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
