Recreativo Granada x Almeria B Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4

Our betting tip for Recreativo Granada x Almeria B, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 07:00

Recreativo Granada 2.04

X 3.16

Almeria B 3.36

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Recreativo Granada x Almeria B:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Recreativo Granada x Almeria B

Some important points for the tip for Recreativo Granada x Almeria B: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Recreativo Granada in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $403.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Almeria B in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $50.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Almeria B scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Almeria B, Recreativo Granada scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Recreativo Granada x Almeria B, with Recreativo Granada as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Recreativo Granada conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Almeria B. 👉 Recreativo Granada has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Almeria B playing at home.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Recreativo Granada x Almeria B?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Recreativo Granada x Almeria B, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Recreativo Granada x Almeria B for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Recreativo Granada x Almeria B right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Recreativo Granada x Almeria B

Is betting on Recreativo Granada worth it?

🔵 Recreativo Granada: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 46.87% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.04. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 470 times – profiting $488.80;
• And would lose other 530 times – losing -$530.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$41.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.42% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.16. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $561.60;
• And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$178.40.

Is it worth betting on Almeria B?

🔴 Almeria B: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.36. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $637.20
• And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$92.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Recreativo Granada x Almeria B

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Recreativo Granada
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Recreativo Granada x Almeria B

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Recreativo Granada, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Recreativo Granada.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Almeria B.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Recreativo Granada x Almeria B

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.