Recreativo Granada x Linares Deportivo Betting tips for January 11 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4

Our betting tip for Recreativo Granada x Linares Deportivo, Saturday, 11/1/2025

📅 11/1/2025 11:30

Recreativo Granada 2.38

X 2.88

Linares Deportivo 2.96

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Recreativo Granada x Linares Deportivo:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Recreativo Granada x Linares Deportivo

The main points for the tip for Recreativo Granada x Linares Deportivo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Recreativo Granada in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-115.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Linares Deportivo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Recreativo Granada scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Recreativo Granada matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Linares Deportivo conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Linares Deportivo as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Recreativo Granada x Linares Deportivo for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 – 11 of January

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Recreativo Granada x Linares Deportivo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244516 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Recreativo Granada x Linares Deportivo

Is betting on Recreativo Granada worth it?

🔵 Recreativo Granada: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.25%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.38. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $510.60
• And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$119.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 360 times – profiting $676.80;
• And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$36.80 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is betting on Linares Deportivo worth it?

🔴 Linares Deportivo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.96. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 270 times – profiting $529.20;
• And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$200.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Recreativo Granada x Linares Deportivo

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Recreativo Granada
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Recreativo Granada x Linares Deportivo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Recreativo Granada, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Recreativo Granada.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Linares Deportivo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Recreativo Granada x Linares Deportivo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.