📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Reggiana x Pistoiese
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Analysis from Reggiana x Pistoiese for the Italy Serie C Group B – 22 of January
🏟️ Reggiana X Pistoiese – Italy Serie C Group B
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Reggiana and Pistoiese.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 290605 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Reggiana x Pistoiese
Is it a good idea to bet on Reggiana?
🔵 Reggiana: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 92.43% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.22. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 920 times – profiting $202.40;
- And would lose other 80 times – losing -$80.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$122.40.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $252.00;
- And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$688.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Pistoiese?
🔴 Pistoiese: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.44% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 10.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $90.00
- And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$900.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Reggiana x Pistoiese
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 Reggiana
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Reggiana x Pistoiese
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -2.0 Reggiana, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Reggiana.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 Reggiana.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Reggiana x Pistoiese
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
Our tips are also on YouTube
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves