📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Rep of Ireland x New Zealand
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Analysis from Rep of Ireland x New Zealand for the International Match – 21 of November
🏟️ Rep of Ireland X New Zealand – International Match
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Rep of Ireland x New Zealand right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024310 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Rep of Ireland x New Zealand
Is it a good idea to bet on Rep of Ireland?
🔵 Rep of Ireland: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 82.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.57. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 820 times – this would give you a profit of $467.40
- And would lose other 180 times – losing -$180.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$287.40.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $336.00;
- And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$544.00.
Is it worth betting on New Zealand?
🔴 New Zealand: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $200.00
- And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$750.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Rep of Ireland x New Zealand
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Rep of Ireland
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Rep of Ireland x New Zealand
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Rep of Ireland and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Rep of Ireland.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Rep of Ireland x New Zealand
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves