Riga FC x FK Liepaja Betting tips for September 29 in Latvia Virsliga

Our betting tip for Riga FC x FK Liepaja, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 10:00

Riga FC 1.18

X 6.05

FK Liepaja 10.19

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Riga FC x FK Liepaja:

🔮 Riga FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Riga FC, you can win up to $590.00!

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The main points for the tip for Riga FC x FK Liepaja: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Riga FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $115.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on FK Liepaja in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-105.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against FK Liepaja, Riga FC scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Riga FC x FK Liepaja, with Riga FC as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, FK Liepaja conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Riga FC has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against FK Liepaja.

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Analysis from Riga FC x FK Liepaja for the Latvia Virsliga – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Riga FC x FK Liepaja right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Riga FC x FK Liepaja

Is betting on Riga FC worth it?

🔵 Riga FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 96.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.18. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 970 times – profiting $174.60;
• And would have lost other 30 times – with a loss of -$30.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$144.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 2.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 30 times – this would give you a profit of $151.50
• And would lose other 970 times – having a loss of -$970.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$818.50.

Is betting on FK Liepaja worth it?

🔴 FK Liepaja: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 10.19. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 10 times – profiting $91.90;
• And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$898.10.

Handicaps analysis for the match Riga FC x FK Liepaja

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Riga FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Riga FC x FK Liepaja

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.75 Riga FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.0 Riga FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 2.0 FK Liepaja.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Riga FC x FK Liepaja

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.