📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Rionegro Aguilas x Atletico Bucaramanga
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Analysis from Rionegro Aguilas x Atletico Bucaramanga for the Colombia Primera A – 20 of January
🏟️ Rionegro Aguilas X Atletico Bucaramanga – Colombia Primera A
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Rionegro Aguilas x Atletico Bucaramanga right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 290148 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Rionegro Aguilas x Atletico Bucaramanga
Is it worth betting on Rionegro Aguilas?
🔵 Rionegro Aguilas: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $506.00
- And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$54.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $735.00
- And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$85.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Atletico Bucaramanga?
🔴 Atletico Bucaramanga: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.23. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 220 times – profiting $489.50;
- And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$290.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Rionegro Aguilas x Atletico Bucaramanga
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Rionegro Aguilas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Rionegro Aguilas x Atletico Bucaramanga
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Rionegro Aguilas, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Rionegro Aguilas. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Rionegro Aguilas x Atletico Bucaramanga
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves