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Home » Predictions » Others » Rivers United x Kano Pillars Betting tips for December 1 in Nigeria Premier League
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 15h00 Nigeria Premier League
Rivers United Rivers United
PREDICTION Rivers United wins Probability 90% 1 X 2
Kano Pillars Kano Pillars
ODD: @1.32 Don't miss this prediction!

Rivers United x Kano Pillars Betting tips for December 1 in Nigeria Premier League

Our betting tip for Rivers United x Kano Pillars, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
15:00
Rivers United Rivers United
1.32
X
4.00
Kano Pillars Kano Pillars
9.20

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Rivers United x Kano Pillars:

🔮 Rivers United wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Rivers United, you can win up to $660.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Rivers United x Kano Pillars:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Rivers United in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-93.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Kano Pillars in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $825.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Kano Pillars, Rivers United scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Rivers United matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Rivers United x Kano Pillars, with Rivers United as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Rivers United has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Kano Pillars playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Rivers United x Kano Pillars for the Nigeria Premier League – 1 of December

🏟️ Rivers United X Kano Pillars – Nigeria Premier League
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Rivers United – Winning probability: 90.71% | Fair line: 1.1
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.30% | Fair line: 12.04
🔴 Kano Pillars – Winning probability: 0.98% | Fair line: 101.65
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Rivers United
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Rivers United x Kano Pillars right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Rivers United x Kano Pillars

Is betting on Rivers United worth it?

🔵 Rivers United: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 90.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.32. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 910 times – having a profit of $291.20;
  • And would lose other 90 times – losing -$90.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$201.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – profiting $240.00;
  • And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$680.00.

Should you bet on Kano Pillars?

🔴 Kano Pillars: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.98%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 9.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $82.00
  • And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$908.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Rivers United x Kano Pillars

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Rivers United
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Rivers United x Kano Pillars

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Rivers United and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Rivers United.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Kano Pillars.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Rivers United x Kano Pillars

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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