RKC x Willem II Betting tips for May 5 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie
| 📅 5/5/2026 16:45 |
RKC2.45 |
X 3.50 |
Willem II ![]() 2.60 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for RKC x Willem II:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1750.00!
Important information for your tip for RKC x Willem II:
👉 If you had bet $100 on RKC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $12.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Willem II in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $635.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, RKC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Willem II scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Willem II, RKC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 road matches, Willem II has not lost any of them.
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Analysis from RKC x Willem II for the Netherlands Eerste Divisie – 5 of May
🏟️ RKC X Willem II – Netherlands Eerste Divisie
📅 5 of May, 2026 – 16:45
🔵 RKC – Winning probability: 35.65% | Fair line: 2.81
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 35.88% | Fair line: 2.79
🔴 Willem II – Winning probability: 28.47% | Fair line: 3.51
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 RKC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
How the handicap and odds moved for RKC x Willem II
One step many punters overlook is analysing the movement of odds and the handicap over time. Doing this gives a clearer idea of market expectations for the match between RKC x Willem II.
Check the summary below that compares opening odds with current odds across the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.
📊 With a variation of 2.08%, the odds for RKC are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @2.4 for RKC and now the odds are @2.45.
📊 With a variation of -2.70%, the odds for Draw are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @3.7 for Draw and now the odds are @3.6.
📊 With a variation of 0.96%, the odds for Willem II are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @2.6 for Willem II and now the odds are @2.625.
📊 The main handicap is stable: the current handicap of 0.00 for RKC is exactly the same from its opening.
📊 The Goal Market remains stable: the current handicap of 3.0 goals is exactly the same from its opening.
Tips for the 1×2 market for RKC x Willem II
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for RKC x Willem II right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1538773 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Is betting on RKC worth it?
🔵 RKC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.65% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 360 times – profiting $522.00;
- And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$118.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $900.00;
- And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$260.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Willem II?
🔴 Willem II: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.47% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $448.00;
- And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$272.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match RKC x Willem II
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 RKC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for RKC x Willem II
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 RKC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 RKC.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Willem II.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for RKC x Willem II
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.
FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the prediction for RKC x Willem II
Who is the favourite for RKC x Willem II?
From our analysis, the team that comes out as favourite is RKC, with a win probability of 35.65%. Still, favourite does not guarantee a win!
Who will win: RKC or Willem II?
There are no absolutes in sports betting. Still, our model suggests RKC has the better chance to win, with a probability of 35.65%. If you choose to back RKC, do so responsibly!
What are the chances of RKC beating Willem II today?
According to our analysis, out of every 100 games we expect RKC to win approximately 36 of them against Willem II.
What are the chances of Willem II beating RKC today?
According to our analysis, out of every 100 games we expect Willem II to win approximately 28 of them against RKC.
Which team should I bet on: RKC or Willem II?
Smart bettors seek bets with positive expected value. According to our analysis, the recommended bet is: Draw Match, with an expected value of 29.03%. Remember to bet responsibly and manage your bankroll: dont stake over 2%!
How much is RKC paying today? See what you can win by betting on RKC x Willem II:
The average odds for RKC to beat Willem II today are 2.45. So a KSh1000 stake could pay KSh2450.00 if RKC wins. Bet responsibly and remember outcomes are not certain.
How much is Willem II paying today? See what you can win by betting on RKC x Willem II:
The average odds for Willem II to beat RKC today are 2.60. So a KSh1000 stake could pay KSh2600.00 if Willem II wins. Bet responsibly and remember outcomes are not certain.

RKC