ROC Charleroi x Excelsior Virton Betting tips for April 12 in Belgium First Amateur Division
| 📅 12/4/2025 18:00 |
 ROC Charleroi1.83 |
X 3.65 |
Excelsior Virton  3.40 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for ROC Charleroi x Excelsior Virton:
🔮 Tied Match
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The main points for the tip for ROC Charleroi x Excelsior Virton: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Excelsior Virton in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-60.0. |
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Analysis from ROC Charleroi x Excelsior Virton for the Belgium First Amateur Division – 12 of April
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🏟️ ROC Charleroi X Excelsior Virton – Belgium First Amateur Division |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for ROC Charleroi x Excelsior Virton right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1301554 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for ROC Charleroi x Excelsior Virton
Should you bet on ROC Charleroi?
🔵 ROC Charleroi: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 57.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.83. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 580 times – having a profit of $481.40;
- And would lose other 420 times – losing -$420.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$61.40.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.86%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 280 times – profiting $742.00;
- And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$22.00.
Is betting on Excelsior Virton worth it?
🔴 Excelsior Virton: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $336.00
- And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$524.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match ROC Charleroi x Excelsior Virton
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 ROC Charleroi
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for ROC Charleroi x Excelsior Virton
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 ROC Charleroi, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 ROC Charleroi.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for ROC Charleroi x Excelsior Virton
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.
