ROC Charleroi x Lierse Kempenzonen Betting tips for April 11 in Belgium First Division B
| 📅 11/4/2026 18:00 |
 ROC Charleroi2.55 |
X 3.35 |
Lierse Kempenzonen  2.39 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for ROC Charleroi x Lierse Kempenzonen:
🔮 Lierse Kempenzonen wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lierse Kempenzonen, you can win up to $1195.00!
Some important points for the tip for ROC Charleroi x Lierse Kempenzonen:
👉 If you had bet $100 on ROC Charleroi in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Lierse Kempenzonen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $110.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Lierse Kempenzonen scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, ROC Charleroi conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Lierse Kempenzonen has not lost any of them.
👉 It is not a good time for ROC Charleroi as home team: it comes from 6 losses in a row in its last home matches.
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Analysis from ROC Charleroi x Lierse Kempenzonen for the Belgium First Division B – 11 of April
🏟️ ROC Charleroi X Lierse Kempenzonen – Belgium First Division B
📅 11 of April, 2026 – 18:00
🔵 ROC Charleroi – Winning probability: 27.46% | Fair line: 3.64
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.14% | Fair line: 3.83
🔴 Lierse Kempenzonen – Winning probability: 46.40% | Fair line: 2.16
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 ROC Charleroi
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks
How the handicap and odds moved for ROC Charleroi x Lierse Kempenzonen
One step many punters overlook is analysing the movement of odds and the handicap over time. Doing this gives a clearer idea of market expectations for the match between ROC Charleroi x Lierse Kempenzonen.
Check the summary below that compares opening odds with current odds across the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.
📊 With a variation of 0.00%, the odds for ROC Charleroi are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @2.55 for ROC Charleroi and now the odds are @2.55.
📊 With a variation of 0.00%, the odds for Draw are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @3.4 for Draw and now the odds are @3.4.
📊 With a variation of 0.00%, the odds for Lierse Kempenzonen are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @2.3 for Lierse Kempenzonen and now the odds are @2.3.
📊 The main handicap is stable: the current handicap of 0.00 for ROC Charleroi is exactly the same from its opening.
📊 The Goal Market remains stable: the current handicap of 2.75 goals is exactly the same from its opening.
Tips for the 1×2 market for ROC Charleroi x Lierse Kempenzonen
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between ROC Charleroi and Lierse Kempenzonen.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1519533 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Is it a good idea to bet on ROC Charleroi?
🔵 ROC Charleroi: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $418.50
- And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$311.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 260 times – profiting $611.00;
- And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$129.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Lierse Kempenzonen?
🔴 Lierse Kempenzonen: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 46.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.39. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $639.40;
- And would have lost other 540 times – with a loss of -$540.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$99.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match ROC Charleroi x Lierse Kempenzonen
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 ROC Charleroi
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for ROC Charleroi x Lierse Kempenzonen
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 ROC Charleroi and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 ROC Charleroi.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Lierse Kempenzonen.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for ROC Charleroi x Lierse Kempenzonen
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the tip for ROC Charleroi x Lierse Kempenzonen
Who is the favourite: ROC Charleroi or Lierse Kempenzonen?
According to our analysis, the favourite for this match is Lierse Kempenzonen, with a win probability of 46.40%. However, keep in mind that in football anything can happen!
Who will win: ROC Charleroi x Lierse Kempenzonen?
There are no absolutes in sports betting. Still, our model suggests Lierse Kempenzonen has the better chance to win, with a probability of 46.40%. If you choose to back Lierse Kempenzonen, do so responsibly!
What are the chances of ROC Charleroi beating Lierse Kempenzonen today?
According to our analysis, out of every 100 games we expect ROC Charleroi to win approximately 27 of them against Lierse Kempenzonen.
What are the chances of Lierse Kempenzonen beating ROC Charleroi today?
From our analysis, in 100 encounters we forecast that Lierse Kempenzonen would take victory in roughly 46 of them against ROC Charleroi.
Which team should I bet on: ROC Charleroi or Lierse Kempenzonen?
A good bettor always searches for positive expected value bets. Our analysis suggests: Lierse Kempenzonen Wins as the best pick, with EV of 6.48%. Bet responsibly and practice sound bankroll management: keep stakes under 2% of your capital!
How much is ROC Charleroi paying today? See what you can win by betting on ROC Charleroi x Lierse Kempenzonen:
The odds for ROC Charleroi to beat Lierse Kempenzonen today are around 2.55. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh2550.00 if ROC Charleroi wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!
How much is Lierse Kempenzonen paying today? See what you can win by betting on ROC Charleroi x Lierse Kempenzonen:
The odds for Lierse Kempenzonen to beat ROC Charleroi today are around 2.39. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh2390.00 if Lierse Kempenzonen wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!
