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Home » Predictions » Others » Roma City x Teramo Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 13h30 Italy Serie D
Roma City Roma City
PREDICTION No tip
Teramo Teramo
Don't miss this prediction!

Roma City x Teramo Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Roma City x Teramo, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
13:30
Roma City Roma City
2.62
X
3.00
Teramo Teramo
2.48

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Roma City x Teramo:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Roma City x Teramo

The main points for the tip for Roma City x Teramo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Teramo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-115.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Teramo scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Roma City x Teramo for the Italy Serie D – 12 of January

🏟️ Roma City X Teramo – Italy Serie D
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 Roma City – Winning probability: 33.46% | Fair line: 2.99
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.97% | Fair line: 2.94
🔴 Teramo – Winning probability: 32.58% | Fair line: 3.07
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Roma City
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Roma City x Teramo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244844 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Roma City x Teramo

Is it worth betting on Roma City?

🔵 Roma City: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.46% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $534.60
  • And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$135.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.97% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $680.00
  • And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$20.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on Teramo?

🔴 Teramo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.48. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – profiting $488.40;
  • And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$181.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Roma City x Teramo

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Roma City
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Roma City x Teramo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Roma City, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Roma City.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Roma City x Teramo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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