Rouen x Bourg-Peronnas Betting tips for April 12 in France National
| 📅 12/4/2025 16:00 |
 Rouen2.00 |
X 3.10 |
Bourg-Peronnas  3.72 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Rouen x Bourg-Peronnas:
👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Rouen x Bourg-Peronnas
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Important information for your tip for Rouen x Bourg-Peronnas: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Rouen in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-148.0. |
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Analysis from Rouen x Bourg-Peronnas for the France National – 12 of April
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🏟️ Rouen X Bourg-Peronnas – France National |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Rouen and Bourg-Peronnas.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1301554 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Rouen x Bourg-Peronnas
Is it a good idea to bet on Rouen?
🔵 Rouen: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 51.28% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 510 times – this would give you a profit of $510.00
- And would have lost other 490 times – with a loss of -$490.00 because of them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$20.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.2% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 290 times – profiting $609.00;
- And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$101.00.
Is it worth betting on Bourg-Peronnas?
🔴 Bourg-Peronnas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.72. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $544.00;
- And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$256.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Rouen x Bourg-Peronnas
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Rouen
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Rouen x Bourg-Peronnas
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Rouen, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Rouen. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Rouen x Bourg-Peronnas
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
