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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Rubin Kazan x Fakel Voronezh Betting tips for October 1 in Russia Cup
Tuesday, 01 October 2024, 07h00 Russia Cup
Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan
PREDICTION Rubin Kazan wins Probability 70% 1 X 2
Fakel Voronezh Fakel Voronezh
ODD: @1.65 Don't miss this prediction!

Rubin Kazan x Fakel Voronezh Betting tips for October 1 in Russia Cup

Our betting tip for Rubin Kazan x Fakel Voronezh, Tuesday, 1/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 1/10/2024
07:00
Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan
1.65
X
3.68
Fakel Voronezh Fakel Voronezh
4.72

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Rubin Kazan x Fakel Voronezh:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Rubin Kazan wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Rubin Kazan, you can win up to $825.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Rubin Kazan x Fakel Voronezh:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Rubin Kazan in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-298.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Fakel Voronezh in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 Rubin Kazan matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Fakel Voronezh conceded at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Fakel Voronezh as away team: it comes from 7 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Rubin Kazan x Fakel Voronezh for the Russia Cup – 1 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Rubin Kazan X Fakel Voronezh – Russia Cup
๐Ÿ“… 1 of October, 2024 – 07:00
๐Ÿ”ต Rubin Kazan – Winning probability: 70.88% | Fair line: 1.41
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.51% | Fair line: 6.06
๐Ÿ”ด Fakel Voronezh – Winning probability: 12.61% | Fair line: 7.93
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Rubin Kazan
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Rubin Kazan x Fakel Voronezh is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1192611 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Rubin Kazan x Fakel Voronezh

Is betting on Rubin Kazan worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Rubin Kazan: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 70.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 710 times – this would give you a profit of $461.50
  • And would lose other 290 times – losing -$290.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$171.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.51%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.68. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $455.60;
  • And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$374.40.

Is betting on Fakel Voronezh worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Fakel Voronezh: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.61% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $483.60;
  • And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$386.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Rubin Kazan x Fakel Voronezh

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Rubin Kazan
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Rubin Kazan x Fakel Voronezh

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Rubin Kazan, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Rubin Kazan.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Rubin Kazan x Fakel Voronezh

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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