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Home » Predictions » Others » Sabail FC x FK Qarabag Betting tips for February 6 in Azerbaijan Cup
Thursday, 06 February 2025, 14h30 Azerbaijan Cup
Sabail FC Sabail FC
PREDICTION FK Qarabag Wins Probability 88% 1 X 2
FK Qarabag FK Qarabag
ODD: @1.35 Don't miss this prediction!

Sabail FC x FK Qarabag Betting tips for February 6 in Azerbaijan Cup

Our betting tip for Sabail FC x FK Qarabag, Thursday, 6/2/2025
📅 6/2/2025
14:30
Sabail FC Sabail FC
6.50
X
4.50
FK Qarabag FK Qarabag
1.35

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Sabail FC x FK Qarabag:

🔮 FK Qarabag wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FK Qarabag, you can win up to $675.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Sabail FC x FK Qarabag:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Sabail FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-290.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on FK Qarabag in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-383.0.
👉 In the last 3 Sabail FC matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Sabail FC x FK Qarabag, with Sabail FC as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Sabail FC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against FK Qarabag.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Sabail FC x FK Qarabag?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Sabail FC x FK Qarabag, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Sabail FC x FK Qarabag for the Azerbaijan Cup – 6 of February

🏟️ Sabail FC X FK Qarabag – Azerbaijan Cup
📅 6 of February, 2025 – 14:30
🔵 Sabail FC – Winning probability: 5.85% | Fair line: 17.08
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 5.84% | Fair line: 17.12
🔴 FK Qarabag – Winning probability: 88.30% | Fair line: 1.13
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Sabail FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Sabail FC x FK Qarabag is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1257960 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Sabail FC x FK Qarabag

Is it worth betting on Sabail FC?

🔵 Sabail FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 5.85% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $330.00
  • And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$610.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 5.84% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – profiting $210.00;
  • And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$730.00.

Is it worth betting on FK Qarabag?

🔴 FK Qarabag: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 88.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 880 times – profiting $308.00;
  • And would lose other 120 times – losing -$120.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$188.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sabail FC x FK Qarabag

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Sabail FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sabail FC x FK Qarabag

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Sabail FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.25 Sabail FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.25 Sabail FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sabail FC x FK Qarabag

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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