SAD Villaverde San Andres x CD Canillas Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Tercera Group 7

Our betting tip for SAD Villaverde San Andres x CD Canillas, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 06:30

SAD Villaverde San Andres 1.81

X 3.30

CD Canillas 3.80

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for SAD Villaverde San Andres x CD Canillas:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for SAD Villaverde San Andres x CD Canillas

Some important points for the tip for SAD Villaverde San Andres x CD Canillas: 👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Canillas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 SAD Villaverde San Andres matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, CD Canillas conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from SAD Villaverde San Andres x CD Canillas for the Spain Tercera Group 7 – 29 of September

When the best bet on SAD Villaverde San Andres x CD Canillas is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for SAD Villaverde San Andres x CD Canillas

Is it worth betting on SAD Villaverde San Andres?

🔵 SAD Villaverde San Andres: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 56.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.81. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 560 times – profiting $453.60;
• And would lose other 440 times – losing -$440.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$13.60 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 260 times – profiting $598.00;
• And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$142.00.

Should you bet on CD Canillas?

🔴 CD Canillas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.74% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $504.00;
• And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$316.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match SAD Villaverde San Andres x CD Canillas

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 SAD Villaverde San Andres
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SAD Villaverde San Andres x CD Canillas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 SAD Villaverde San Andres and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 SAD Villaverde San Andres.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 CD Canillas.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SAD Villaverde San Andres x CD Canillas

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.